empty
26.03.2025 07:03 AM
What to Pay Attention to on March 26? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

Analysis of Macroeconomic Reports:

This image is no longer relevant

Very few macroeconomic events are scheduled for Wednesday, and only one important report is expected. The UK will release what may seem like a significant inflation report. Inflation remains a key factor for the Bank of England when determining the parameters of its monetary policy. However, only the second estimate for February will be published today, and the second estimates rarely differ from the first. As Andrew Bailey noted last week, inflation in the UK continues to rise and may increase even further. Therefore, regardless of the actual CPI figure, there is little reason to expect a sharp drop in the pound based on this report. In the U.S., a report on durable goods orders will be released today. Since this category of goods is relatively expensive, it offers insight into American consumers' willingness to make high-cost purchases.

Analysis of Fundamental Events:

This image is no longer relevant

Among Tuesday's fundamental events were Federal Reserve officials Neel Kashkari and Alberto Musalem's speeches. However, the last Fed meeting occurred just last week, and Jerome Powell clearly outlined the central bank's position for the coming months. It is unlikely that Kashkari or Musalem will add anything new. In any case, the Fed's monetary policy currently holds little weight with traders. They continue to focus solely on Trump and his trade policy.

General Conclusions:

During the third trading day of the week, both currency pairs may continue the downward movement that has been building over recent weeks. Both pairs have settled below their ascending channels, and the Fed's stance allows the dollar to reclaim some of its unjustly lost ground. Of course, no one knows when Trump will announce new trade tariffs or what they will look like, but even this factor cannot endlessly provoke a decline in the dollar. At present, the British pound is more inclined toward flat trading than toward a downward correction.

Key Rules for the Trading System:

  1. Signal Strength: The shorter the time it takes for a signal to form (a rebound or breakout), the stronger the signal.
  2. False Signals: If two or more trades near a level result in false signals, subsequent signals from that level should be ignored.
  3. Flat Markets: In flat conditions, pairs may generate many false signals or none at all. It's better to stop trading at the first signs of a flat market.
  4. Trading Hours: Open trades between the start of the European session and the middle of the US session, then manually close all trades.
  5. MACD Signals: On the hourly timeframe, trade MACD signals only during periods of good volatility and a clear trend confirmed by trendlines or trend channels.
  6. Close Levels: If two levels are too close (5–20 pips apart), treat them as a support or resistance zone.
  7. Stop Loss: Set a Stop Loss to breakeven after the price moves 15–20 pips in the desired direction.

Key Chart Elements:

Support and Resistance Levels: These are target levels for opening or closing positions and can also serve as points for placing Take Profit orders.

Red Lines: Channels or trendlines indicating the current trend and the preferred direction for trading.

MACD Indicator (14,22,3): A histogram and signal line used as a supplementary source of trading signals.

Important speeches and reports, which are consistently featured in the news calendar, can significantly influence the movement of a currency pair. Therefore, during their release, it is advisable to trade with caution or consider exiting the market to avoid potential sharp price reversals against the prior trend.

Beginners in the Forex market should understand that not every transaction will be profitable. Developing a clear trading strategy and practicing effective money management are crucial for achieving long-term success in trading.

Paolo Greco,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Stanislav Polyanskiy
Start trade
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

GBP/USD Overview – July 17: The UK Has Accepted Trump's Terms. Consequences

The GBP/USD currency pair also traded more calmly on Wednesday compared to Tuesday, although a surge occurred in the evening. Let us recall that we do not consider Tuesday's decline

Paolo Greco 03:21 2025-07-17 UTC+2

EUR/USD Overview – July 17: U.S. Inflation Will Only Accelerate

The EUR/USD currency pair traded more calmly on Wednesday than it had on Tuesday, remaining relatively stable until the evening. There were no major fundamental or macroeconomic events in either

Paolo Greco 03:21 2025-07-17 UTC+2

The Dollar Is Accumulating Risk Factors Again

Demand for the US dollar has been growing for the third consecutive week. Initially, it was a slow and sluggish strengthening, but in recent days, it has gained momentum

Chin Zhao 00:45 2025-07-17 UTC+2

GBP/USD: UK CPI and US PPI

The "green tone" of the UK CPI did not help GBP/USD buyers. All signs of stagflation are evident: the UK economy is contracting, the labor market is cooling, and inflation

Irina Manzenko 00:45 2025-07-17 UTC+2

Australian Dollar Awaits Labor Market Data

The Australian dollar experienced a slight decline following the release of China's GDP data, which the market interpreted with some ambiguity. While a 5.2% GDP growth rate appears solid

Kuvat Raharjo 00:45 2025-07-17 UTC+2

Euro Plunges Off a Cliff

Is the euro as strong as it may have seemed just a couple of weeks ago? According to the Bundesbank, Germany's economy is stagnating in the second quarter

Marek Petkovich 00:45 2025-07-17 UTC+2

Gold Gets Stabbed in the Back by Inflation

Is gold overbought? Or just in a waiting mode? Investor opinions are divided. However, the negative reaction of XAU/USD to strong U.S. job growth and a surge in inflation

Marek Petkovich 00:45 2025-07-17 UTC+2

USD/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

At this stage, the Japanese yen has paused its decline against the US dollar. However, further strengthening of the yen in the near term appears unlikely. The key factors influencing

Irina Yanina 20:47 2025-07-16 UTC+2

AUD/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

On Wednesday, the AUD/JPY pair is attracting buyers, even though the Japanese yen remains relatively weak due to domestic political uncertainty. Moreover, according to polls, Japan's ruling coalition—the Liberal Democratic

Irina Yanina 13:04 2025-07-16 UTC+2

GBP/USD: Analysis and Forecast

Today, the GBP/USD pair is attempting to regain positive momentum and rise above the key psychological level of 1.3400, aiming to break a multi-day losing streak. However, spot prices remain

Irina Yanina 12:51 2025-07-16 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.