empty
27.03.2025 10:58 AM
EUR/USD. Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

Today, the EUR/USD pair is gaining some positive traction, breaking a six-day losing streak.

The bullish momentum is lifting spot prices toward the 1.0785 level, marking a new daily high. The upward movement is supported by a weakening U.S. dollar, which has pulled back from a three-week high, creating a more optimistic outlook for the euro.

This image is no longer relevant

Recent actions by U.S. President Donald Trump—including the introduction of 25% tariffs on imported cars, light trucks, and all steel and aluminum, as well as upcoming reciprocal tariffs on April 2—are generating market uncertainty and contributing to the decline of the U.S. Dollar Index. This, in turn, is supporting the EUR/USD pair, particularly against the backdrop of the Federal Reserve's forecast for two 25 basis point rate cuts by the end of the year.

Additionally, the European Union is preparing retaliatory measures in response to U.S. tariffs, which could escalate trade tensions and increase the risk of a full-scale trade war between the EU and the U.S. This keeps traders cautious about taking aggressive long positions in the euro. Moreover, today's softer tone in the equity markets may lend support to the U.S. dollar as a safe haven, limiting the upward potential for EUR/USD.

To identify better trading opportunities, attention should be paid to the release of the U.S. Q4 GDP report, weekly initial jobless claims data, and pending home sales figures. Furthermore, speeches by key FOMC members may inject volatility into the U.S. dollar, providing some momentum to EUR/USD. However, the main focus remains on Friday's release of the U.S. Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index.

Technical Outlook: If the pair can hold above the 1.0780 level and break through the psychological barrier at 1.0800, this would pave the way for further gains. However, support at 1.0725—where the 200-day SMA currently lies—remains crucial. A break below that could trigger additional selling pressure. The next support is at the 1.0700 level, followed by the 100-day EMA near 1.0620. Still, as long as the oscillators on the daily chart remain in positive territory, the EUR/USD pair appears determined to hold its ground.

USD Performance Overview: The table below shows the percentage change of the U.S. dollar against the major listed currencies for today.

This image is no longer relevant

The U.S. dollar has been strongest against the Canadian dollar.

This image is no longer relevant

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Irina Yanina
Start trade
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

Recommended Stories

USD/CHF. Analysis and Forecast

Today, Friday, USD/CHF is attracting new sellers amid the broader weakening of the U.S. dollar. The initial market reaction to Thursday's stronger-than-expected U.S. Producer Price Index was short-lived

Irina Yanina 13:46 2025-08-15 UTC+2

AUD/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

According to data released today by Japan's Cabinet Office, the Japanese economy grew by 1% year-on-year in the April–June period. This figure significantly exceeded analysts' expectations of 0.4% growth

Irina Yanina 12:47 2025-08-15 UTC+2

XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

Gold is attempting to recover its upward momentum, partially offsetting the previous day's losses, but the market remains uncertain about further movement. The U.S. dollar is exerting a favorable influence

Irina Yanina 12:42 2025-08-15 UTC+2

Gold Prices Drop Sharply

Yesterday, gold prices returned to a one-week low after traders reduced expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut next month following an increase in inflation. The strengthening of the U.S

Jakub Novak 12:14 2025-08-15 UTC+2

U.S. Economy Remains Resilient

While the U.S. dollar is trying to hold on to the recent gains it secured from yesterday's strong U.S. inflation data, Richmond Federal Reserve Bank President Thomas Barkin said Thursday

Jakub Novak 12:06 2025-08-15 UTC+2

US Dollar Surged Sharply but Has Almost Lost All Its Gains

The US dollar rose sharply against a number of risk assets, but has since almost given back all of its gains. The rally came after news that the US Producer

Jakub Novak 11:39 2025-08-15 UTC+2

Market shrugs off PPI spike

Markets once again brushed off bad news. The S&P 500 managed to close higher, holding up against the hit from the Producer Price Index. On a monthly basis

Marek Petkovich 09:37 2025-08-15 UTC+2

Is the PPI Dynamics Useful for Markets? (Possible Resumption of Growth in Bitcoin and GBP/USD)

The producer inflation data released on Thursday unexpectedly had a noticeable, albeit limited, impact on financial markets. However, the shock was neither deep nor long-lasting. Let's try to understand

Pati Gani 09:13 2025-08-15 UTC+2

What to Pay Attention to on August 15? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

There are not many macroeconomic releases scheduled for Friday, but there will be some. In Germany, the UK, and the Eurozone, the event calendars are empty, but in the U.S

Paolo Greco 06:53 2025-08-15 UTC+2

GBP/USD Overview – August 15: Even the UK Economy Supports Growth

The GBP/USD currency pair spent most of Thursday moving sideways, but there is no reason to think the uptrend has ended. The pound sterling has been steadily rising since completing

Paolo Greco 03:50 2025-08-15 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.