Forex Analysis & Reviews: 07.12.2020 - Trading recommendations for...

07.12.2020 11:30 AM

Trading recommendations for EUR/USD and GBP/USD pair on 12/07/20

Past review of EUR/USD pair

Last Friday, the Euro managed to update its local high once again, but the upward movement slowed down after that.

What was published on the economic calendar?

The report of the US Department of Labor was the main event in terms of statistics, where the unemployment rate fell from 6.9% to 6.7%, which is better than the forecast of 6.8%. The decline in the unemployment rate signals the recovery of the labor market and, as a result, the economy.

On the other hand, non-agricultural employment grew by only 245 thousand, while expecting 469 thousand. This is considered the weakest growth in seven months. The discrepancy in employment expectations is not considered the best signal, but huge growth was still observed.

The market reaction to the report of the US Department of Labor had a positive effect on the dollar against the euro.

What happened on the trading chart?

Initially, the quote maintained the upward trend, resulting in an update of the local high at 1.2174 ---> 1.2177. It was followed by a stop within the level of 1.2177, which the market regarded as resistance. As a result, the European currency began to lose its positions, pulling back as much as possible to the level of 1.2110.

A high degree of overbought Euro and the decline in the US unemployment rate contributed to the strengthening of the US dollar.

Past review of GBP/USD pair

The pound managed to show local upward interest on Friday, but a correction still occurred at the end of the trading day.

What was published on the economic calendar?

The business activity index in the construction sector was published in the UK, where there was an acceleration from 53.1 points to 54.7 points, instead of an activity slowdown.

At the time the statistics was published, the pound was strengthening.

As before, the main event was the report of the US Department of Labor, which contributed to the strengthening of the US dollar.

What happened on the trading chart?

The British currency showed an upward interest at the beginning of the European session. As a result, the quote managed to rise to the level of 1.3537, which led to updating the local highs and reaching the levels of 2018.

The overbought pound, paired with the report of the US Department of Labor, led to a slowdown in the upward movement, which resulted in a correction towards the level of 1.3400.

A similar result with correction was forecasted in the previous review, which could bring us profit around 70-80 points.

Trading recommendation for EUR/USD on December 7

We do not have any significant statistics for Europe and the United States in today's economic calendar. Therefore, the market will follow technical analysis, as well as the flow of information noise.

In terms of technical analysis, the pullback stage from the coordinate 1.2177 can be seen. If the quote manages to consolidate below the level of 1.2100, then moving to a new level in the form of a correction will be possible, with a more impressive decline towards 1.2050-1.2000.

It is worth noting that the overbought factor of the European currency still remains on the market.

Trading recommendation for GBP/USD on December 7

Considering the economic calendar, statistics from the UK and the United States will not be released today. However, we will pay special attention to the trade negotiations on Brexit. Any positive Brexit news will push the pound upwards, while a negative background on the trade deal will lead to the pound's decline.

As for the technical analysis, it can be seen that the previously set correction move from the local high of 1.3537 has already led the quote below the level of 1.3350. If the downward move continues, the quote may further decline to the level of 1.3300, where a rebound will likely occur.

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*这里的市场分析是为了增加您对市场的了解，而不是给出交易的指示。

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