empty
19.08.2022 03:23 PM
FTSE on verge of crash as institutional interest in UK equities fades

This image is no longer relevant

The UK is now facing multiple problems: the cost-of-living crisis, political chaos, and labor strikes. Now, the country's blue-chip index and the only bright spot in the economy, the FTSE 100, is under threat as well.

The index gained about 1.6% since the beginning of 2022, beating a 13% drop for the Euro Stoxx 50 thanks to its big exposure to value segments such as energy, miners, and banks. These segments of the economy have advanced as the economy began to broadly move away from growth.

The FTSE 100 is also under threat from dimming prospects for commodities. The index rose by about 7% from its mid-July low, compared to gains of about 9% for the Euro Stoxx 50, 16% for the S&P 500 and 20% for the Nasdaq 100.

This image is no longer relevant

"We are beginning to see institutional interest in UK equities fade," said Daniel Gerard, senior multi asset strategist at State Street Global Markets. Gerard stated that the outlook for energy would likely fall, and that the tailwinds from rates to currency weakness from the first half of 2022 were unlikely to propel the index further.

The latest survey of fund managers by Bank of America Corp. shows a similar trend. Even though the UK stock market is the market of choice for European investors, allocation to British stocks among global fund managers dropped to a net 15% underweight in August from 4% in July.

For comparison, investors in the eurozone are a net 34% underweight. At the same time, fund managers have a net 10% overweight for US stocks.

Even though the index is still considered to be "attractively valued" Alan Dobbie, co-manager of the Rathbone Income Fund, said he sees a "clear market consensus expecting central banks to be forced into a pivot away from their aggressive tightening programmes." As a result, investors could shift to more longer-duration growth sectors such as technology. The FTSE 100 has very few such companies.

This image is no longer relevant

On the other hand, the UK market still enjoys support from several positive fundamental factors: market participants get more than two-thirds of sales from outside the UK. This shields them from the country's economic and political headwinds.

"Companies that are not exposed to the domestic UK economy – that have global presence – are good places to hide out from the storm," Swetha Ramachandran, an equities investment manager at GAM, said.

The UK's domestic stocks remain under pressure, however. The FTSE 250, the UK's midcap stocks index, could lose 14% in 2022. The weaker pound has added to surging costs, while spiraling inflation has fueled concerns that consumers will limit spending.

"While so far earnings have held up better than expected, the market is concerned this will get a lot worse," Tineke Frikkee, head of UK research at Waverton Investment Management, noted.

Andrey Shevchenko,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Andrey Shevchenko
Start trade
通过InstaForex赚取加密货币汇率变动的收益。
下载MetaTrader 4并开启您的第一笔交易。
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST

推荐文章

市場無所畏懼

S&P 500 指數再創歷史新高,輪動現象成為美國股市的特徵。投資者積極買入上半年表現不佳的股票,反觀此前增長領先的股票現在表現落後。

Marek Petkovich 10:50 2025-07-11 UTC+2

7月11日有什麼重要動態?給初學者的基礎概覽

週五的宏觀經濟發布計劃非常少,但其數量仍然比本週任何先前的日子都多。英國將公佈國內生產總值(GDP)和工業生產數據。

Paolo Greco 08:50 2025-07-11 UTC+2

英鎊/美元 2025年7月11日概覽

週四,英鎊/美元貨幣對未能鞏固在移動平均線之上,因此修正仍在繼續。 整個週四,英鎊/美元對未能穩住在移動平均線之上,因此修正仍持續進行。

Paolo Greco 07:15 2025-07-11 UTC+2

2025年7月11日,歐元/美元概況

EUR/USD 貨幣對在週四時逐漸下滑。我們繼續等待目前的調整結束,並期待上升趨勢的恢復。

Paolo Greco 07:08 2025-07-11 UTC+2

XAU/USD。分析及預測

金價連續第二天保持正向動能。美國總統特朗普的貿易政策及其對全球經濟的影響持續引發不確定性,令投資者情緒受到影響。

Irina Yanina 19:24 2025-07-10 UTC+2

美元/瑞士法郎。分析與預測

今天,美元/瑞士法郎組合從亞洲交易時段錄得的新週低點回升了一部分,暫時停止了其下滑趨勢,未能突破心理關口0.8000。然而,由於信號混雜,即期價格仍然維持在0.7940附近,反映出缺乏強勁的上升動力。

Irina Yanina 12:26 2025-07-10 UTC+2

市場愚弄賣家

美聯儲的內部分歧、NVIDIA的成功,以及10年期美國國債拍賣的成功,使得S&P 500對關稅混亂置若罔聞。唐納德·特朗普宣布自8月1日起對銅征收關稅,並發送了有關進口關稅率的其他信函。

Marek Petkovich 12:02 2025-07-10 UTC+2

7月10日需要關注的事項:初學者的基本事件概覽

宏觀經濟報告分析: 星期四的宏觀經濟發表相當稀少,且預計不會有重要的數據發布。因此,今日交易者應關注什麼?德國消費者物價指數的第二次估算?或是美國的失業金申請數據?基於當前的宏觀經濟背景,預計不會有強烈的趨勢運動。

Paolo Greco 09:07 2025-07-10 UTC+2

2025年7月10日英鎊/美元概況

週三,英鎊/美元貨幣對維持了其下降趨勢,這是修正性質的,可能在任何時候結束。價格保持在移動平均線以下,本週並無重大宏觀經濟發展。

Paolo Greco 07:26 2025-07-10 UTC+2

2025年7月10日的EUR/USD概覽

歐元/美元貨幣對在週三持續呈現非常平靜的交易狀態。 該對保持輕微的下行偏置,正如我們在所有最近的文章中所提到的。

Paolo Greco 07:16 2025-07-10 UTC+2
现在无法通话?
提出您的问题,用 在线帮助.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.