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03.04.2025 11:00 AM
英鎊/美元。分析與預測
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今天,英鎊/美元對顯示出強勁的增長,達到自2024年10月以來未曾見過的水準。這主要由於美國美元的空頭勢頭所推動,為英鎊創造了有利的條件。

由於美國總統Donald Trump引入的貿易關稅,美元指數跌至新的年度低點,這加強了市場對美聯儲較早開始降息週期的預期。結果,美國國債收益率大幅下降,削弱了美元。

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同時,市場預計英國央行的降息速度將比其他央行(包括美聯儲)更為緩慢,這為英鎊提供了額外支持。這進一步推動了對英鎊的需求,助力英鎊/美元對上升。

從技術角度看,突破1.3000的心理關口確認了脫離多周交易區間,開啟了通往新目標的道路。英鎊/美元很有可能很快達到1.3180區域及1.3200的整數關口。然而,需注意的是,日線圖上的振盪指標接近超買區域。因此,目前進入新的多頭倉位可能為時過早——最好等待鞏固或短期回調。

另一方面,1.3000水準現在作為關鍵支撐。如跌破此水平,將把偏向轉向空頭,促使該貨幣對回到先前的區間。最近的支撐位於1.3100整數關口附近,在進行整固或可能繼續其上升趨勢之前,該區或將被重訪,或至1.3056–1.3100區間。

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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