Forex Analysis & Reviews: 06.10.2022 - The main thing is to stand...

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06.10.2022 02:13 PM

The main thing is to stand firm

Federal Reserve officials continue to repeat like a mantra that they do not plan to cut interest rates next year, while traders continue to doubt this.

On Wednesday, futures showed a decrease in expectations of a Fed interest rate cut in 2023, but they remain high. At least two rate cuts are also forecast in 2024. The president of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Mary Daly, and the president of the Atlanta Fed, Rafael Bostic, were the last to "bang the drum," stating the need to continue tightening measures and monetary policy to reduce inflation, which remains at a level close to a 40-year high.

More recently, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell strongly insisted that the lessons of the 1980s show the need to focus on inflation rather than economic growth. Still, investors refuse to believe that he will remain steadfast at a moment when the recession in the economy is ready to turn into an economic crisis.

Premarket:

The food maker's shares rose 2% in premarket trading after the company reported higher-than-expected quarterly earnings and sales.

Peloton's securities, on the contrary, fell by 4.1% in the premarket after the announcement of the reduction of 500 more jobs, or about 12% of the remaining workforce. CEO Barry McCarthy said he is giving the fitness equipment manufacturer another six months to change. Peloton will most likely not be viable as a separate company if he can't.

Compass shares rose 11.4% in premarket trading after an insider report said Vista Equity Partners was exploring the possibility of privatizing a real estate company.

As for Elon Musk's exhausted Twitter, today, this company will be under the close control of investors amid numerous reports about the efforts of the head of Tesla to reach an agreement. So far, it is reported that the parties have held unsuccessful negotiations on a possible reduction in the transaction price. It is also reported that private investment companies Apollo Global and Sixth Street Partners are no longer in talks with Musk about providing financing. Twitter fell 1.8% in the premarket.

Splunk securities fell 3.1% after UBS downgraded the rating to "neutral" from "buy." The report says that the data provider faces several additional macroeconomic challenges.

Shell shares fell 5.4% in premarket trading after announcing that third-quarter earnings would suffer due to a significant decline in gas trading profits.

As for the technical picture of the S&P500, after yesterday's growth, demand decreased slightly, as did the index itself. Trading below $3,773 creates some difficulties for a further bullish rally. The bulls will expect a second spurt to $3,773 after strong data on the US economy, leaving hope for a further upward correction. The breakdown of $3,773 will support a new upward momentum, already aimed at the resistance of $3,801. The furthest target will be in the area of $3,835. In the event of a downward movement, the bulls will declare themselves in the area of $7,735. But a breakdown of this range will quickly push the trading instrument to $3,706 and $3,677 and open up the possibility of updating support at $3,648. Below this range, you can bet on a larger sell-off of the index to a minimum of $3,608, where the pressure may ease a little.

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*Disclaimer: The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.