
Goldman Sachs raises US recession probability to 35%
Dark clouds are gathering over the US economy once again, with the threat of recession still looming large. It is a worrying development. Analysts are sounding the alarm, and market participants are holding their breath in tense anticipation. The unease is being fueled by a wave of new tariffs recently introduced by US President Donald Trump.
In this context, currency strategists at Goldman Sachs have raised the probability of a US recession to 35%, a figure that can hardly be dismissed. With odds like that, something must be done. But what, exactly, remains the question.
Goldman Sachs analysts recently revised their outlook on the likelihood of a recession in the United States. Previously, they had estimated the chance at 20%, but that has now jumped to 35%. The key drivers behind this shift are a sharp decline in business and consumer confidence, along with a growing expectation of short-term economic weakness largely attributed to the current actions of the US administration.
A recent CNBC survey also reflected rising fears of recession in the US, putting pressure on both consumer and business sentiment. Nearly 60% of chief financial officers are now preparing for a recession in the second half of 2025, while 15% expect it to arrive in 2026.
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Published 04 April 2025
© InstaFintech Group
© InstaFintech Group
Analysis Articles
Fundamental Analysis
Trading Plan
Cryptocurrencies
Technical Analysis
Breaking Forecast
All Analytics
Why Thermo Fisher Stock Is Soaring, Texas Instruments Is Falling: Breaking Down New Market Trends
Japanese Auto Tariffs Cut 27.5% to 15% Thermo Fisher Shares Surge, Beating Wall Street Expectations Texas Instruments Shares Plunge as Tariff Uncertainty Impacts Demand Tesla Reports After Hours, Investors Brace
Why Isn't the Euro Falling Against the US Dollar? (There Is a Possibility of Limited Downside in EUR/USD and GBP/USD)
The euro continues to show steady growth against the dollar, which may seem irrational at first glance, but there are significant reasons behind this. Let's examine them. Today, the European
Why Thermo Fisher Stock Is Soaring, Texas Instruments Is Falling: Breaking Down New Market Trends
Japanese Auto Tariffs Cut 27.5% to 15% Thermo Fisher Shares Surge, Beating Wall Street Expectations Texas Instruments Shares Plunge as Tariff Uncertainty Impacts Demand Tesla Reports After Hours, Investors Brace
Trading Instruments
-
Grand Choice
Contest by
InstaForexInstaForex always strives to help you
fulfill your biggest dreams.JOIN CONTEST -
Chancy DepositDeposit your account with $3,000 and get $4000 more!
In July we raffle $4000 within the Chancy Deposit campaign!
Get a chance to win by depositing $3,000 to a trading account. Having fulfilled this condition, you become a campaign participant.JOIN CONTEST -
Trade Wise, Win DeviceTop up your account with at least $500, sign up for the contest, and get a chance to win mobile devices.JOIN CONTEST