Forex Analysis & Reviews: 14.04.2025 - The US Dollar: Weekly...

Live Chat

InstaForex - Parceiro oficial da Dragon Racing

This section features the most important information about trading with InstaForex. We provide both analysis from leading experts for experienced traders and articles on trading conditions for beginners. Our services will help increase your profit potential.

Become Trader

Abertura de Conta

Veja também

Condições de Negociações

Análise Forex

Gráficos

This section is designed for those who are just starting their trading journey. InstaForex educational and analytical materials will meet your training needs. Our experts' recommendations will make your first steps to trading success simple and clear.

Start as Beginner

Como começar a negociar

Informação útil

Training and recordings

InstaForex innovative services are an essential element of productive investment. We strive to provide our clients with advanced technical capabilities and make their trading routine comfortable as we are recognized as the best broker in this regard.

Become Investor

Sistema PAMM

Sistema ForexCopy

Investimentos passivos

Contas OYS

Partnership with InstaForex is beneficial and top-tier. Join our affiliate programs and enjoy bonuses, partner rewards, and the possibility to travel with the team of the world-renowned brand.

Become Partner

Página Principal

Área do Parceiro

Vantagens para Afiliados

Registro

This section contains the most lucrative offers from InstaForex. Receive bonuses when topping up an account, compete with other traders, and get real prizes even when trading in a demo account.

All Promo Campaigns

Bonuses

Concursos

Eventos

Holidays with InstaForex are not only pleasant but also useful. We offer a one-stop portal, numerous forums, and corporate blogs, where traders can exchange experiences and become successfully integrated into the Forex community.

Full details

Fórums

Estamos nas redes sociais

Humor Forex

Portal Forex

InstaForex is an international brand created in 2007. The company provides services for online FX trading and is recognized as one of the world's leading brokers. We have won the trust of more than 7,000,000 retail traders, who have already appreciated our reliability and focus on innovations.

Learn More

História

Porque nos escolher

InstaSport

Regulamentação

Notícias da Empresa

Premiações

Estrelas da InstaForex

InstaForex Offline

Headquarters

Principais documentos

Responsabilidade Social

Equipe InstaForex Loprais - Participante oficial do Rali Dakar

14.04.2025 12:59 AM

The US Dollar: Weekly Preview

There will be a few significant events in the upcoming week. Of course, reports such as industrial production, retail sales, and new home sales should be noted. At first glance, they do not appear to be able to change market sentiment. While the European Central Bank meeting and UK inflation data at least have some potential to influence the market, the US data do not appear to carry such weight.

As a result, everything will come down to Donald Trump's decisions. The president may take a break, as endlessly imposing tariffs isn't feasible — it simply makes no sense. All countries have been granted a 90-day grace period, so we will likely not see new tariffs against them. China has so far stopped tariffs at 125% and has not yet responded to Trump's most recent increase to 145%. Therefore, a pause is also possible here. If the pause lasts at least a week, the US dollar may get a chance to recover slightly.

Unfortunately, we are talking about Trump, meaning making forecasts is essentially pointless. The current wave markings for both instruments suggest a new prolonged uptrend. However, if Trump pauses, it will be extremely difficult for the euro and the pound to continue rising. New tariffs have triggered every drop in the dollar in recent months. As I've said, wave analysis cannot be a primary reference point in forecasting under current conditions.

Wave Structure for EUR/USD:

Based on the analysis of EUR/USD, I conclude that the instrument is continuing to form a new upward trend segment. Donald Trump's actions have reversed the previous downward trend. As a result, the upcoming wave structure will entirely depend on the US president's stance and actions — something that must always be kept in mind.

From a purely wave-based perspective, a corrective wave structure is likely forming, typically consisting of three waves. However, wave 2 may already be complete. If this assumption is correct, wave 3 of the upward trend may have already begun — with potential targets reaching as high as the 1.25 area.

Wave Structure for GBP/USD:

The wave structure of the GBP/USD instrument has transformed. We are now dealing with an upward impulsive trend segment. Unfortunately, under Trump, markets may face numerous shocks and reversals that do not align with wave patterns or technical analysis. Therefore, at the moment, a corrective wave structure should be expected, the size of which will also depend on Trump. Afterward, the formation of wave 3 of the uptrend could follow — but only if Trump's trade policy doesn't make a complete U-turn, which currently seems unlikely.

Key Principles of My Analysis:

Wave structures should be simple and understandable. Complex structures are difficult to trade and often change.
If there is no confidence in what is happening in the market, it's better to stay out.
Absolute certainty in market direction never exists. Don't forget protective Stop Loss orders.
Wave analysis can and should be combined with other types of analysis and trading strategies.

You have already liked this post today

*A análise de mercado aqui postada destina-se a aumentar o seu conhecimento, mas não dar instruções para fazer uma negociação.